Alkhazzan Abdulwasea,中文名卡赞,来自也门。目前在西北工业大学数学与统计学院攻读博士学位,师从聂玉峰教授,研究方向为随机微分方程,其研究重点在于通过随机数学建模来理解和预测病毒传播。
2024年9月,卡赞的最新研究成果发表于国际知名期刊 Chaos。作为SCI一区的顶尖数学期刊,Chaos 主要刊登在非线性动力学领域具有重要原创性的高水平研究论文。卡赞的研究论文题为《一种新型SVIR跳跃疫情模型用于理解双重疾病传播的动力学》(A novel SVIR epidemic model with jumps for understanding the dynamics of the spread of dual diseases)。该研究通过引入创新的随机SVIR模型,深入探讨了双重疾病传播及疫苗接种策略的复杂动力学。
论文摘要:
The emergence of multi-disease epidemics presents an escalating threat to global health. In response to this serious challenge, we present an innovative stochastic susceptible–vaccinated–infected–recovered epidemic model that addresses the dynamics of two diseases alongside intricate vaccination strategies. Our novel model undergoes a comprehensive exploration through both theoretical and numerical analyses. The stopping time concept, along with appropriate Lyapunov functions, allows us to explore the possibility of a globally positive solution. Through the derivation of reproduction numbers associated with the stochastic model, we establish criteria for the potential extinction of the diseases. The conditions under which one or both diseases may persist are explained. In the numerical aspect, we derive a computational scheme based on the Milstein method. The scheme will not only substantiate the theoretical results but also facilitate the examination of the impact of parameters on disease dynamics. Through examples and simulations, we have a crucial impact of varying parameters on the system’s behavior.
卡赞在学术研究上表现出色,他先后在国际知名期刊上发表了23篇SCI论文,其中16篇为博士期间完成。他在SCI期刊上发表的多篇高质量论文展现了他对研究的专注与投入。
卡赞论文发表的部分期刊
对于未来,卡赞满怀信心地表示,希望能在公共卫生管理领域继续深耕,推动该领域的进一步发展。他的目标是推动有影响力的研究,解决迫切的公共健康需求,激励下一代青年为社会谋福祉。他始终坚定使用科学作为推动积极变革的工具。
撰稿 | 吕桐桐
图片 | Alkhazzan Abdulwasea
编辑 | 李富财
审核 | 李自伟